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College Football Odds: Handicapper makes OSU heavy favorite against Michigan

By Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst

On a snowy day in Ann Arbor final November, the michigan wolverines put an exclamation level on their 11-1 common season with a 42-27 victory over the massive and unhealthy Ohio State Buckeyes.

He catapulted Michigan to a Massive Ten championship and an look within the Faculty Soccer Playoff and solidified the Wolverines’ defensive finish. Aidan Hutchinson‘s placement on the high of the 2022 NFL Draft.

It was additionally the primary time Jim Harbaugh tasted victory in Michigan’s historic head-coaching rivalry and the Wolverines’ first sequence win since 2011.

However do not suppose for a second that the pendulum has swung on the Massive Ten.

“I’ve Ohio State 11 factors higher on a impartial subject heading into this season,” Brad Powers, school soccer bettor and tipster, instructed FOX Sports activities. “Beginning with final yr’s sport, the Buckeyes had been -6 within the Massive Home. That line tells you that Ohio State was vastly superior heading into that sport. [despite the result].

“Michigan goes to regress a bit bit this yr, particularly on the defensive facet of the ball. The losses of Hutchinson and David Ojabo at operating again are vital, and the Wolverines additionally misplaced each coordinators. In case you evaluate final yr to this yr, Michigan most likely dropped three factors.”

Typical knowledge would say that after shedding six gamers within the NFL Draft, together with star receivers Garrett Wilson Y Chris Olave within the high 11 picks, Ohio State may not be as robust both.

Powers vehemently disagrees.

“Ohio State might be three or 4 factors higher than final season,” he defined. “I anticipate them to be the very best offense in your entire nation. No group has extra weapons on that facet of the ball. There’s numerous hype surrounding USC’s offense, however Ohio State’s is superior.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba he’s the very best receiver in school soccer and leads a room with 4 five-star receivers. [Quarterback] CJ Stroud He deserves to be the Heisman favourite, TreVeyon Henderson is among the high two or three operating backs within the nation and two beginning offensive linemen may make it into the primary spherical.

“And take note of the Buckeyes’ protection. They signed the highest two defensive ends within the nation final yr, and people guys are going to be sophomores. The go rush goes to get loads higher, too, and the protection is in a greater place with [former Oklahoma State coordinator] Jim Knowles directing the present.

“I’ve state of Ohio -13.5 or -14 Michigan’s host this yr.

The Buckeyes averaged 45.7 factors per sport final season, and there is a very reasonable likelihood they’re going to be even higher this fall.

Stroud accomplished 72% of his passes for 4,435 yards and 44 touchdowns with simply six interceptions final yr in his first full season below heart. If I do know something about elite school quarterbacks, they’re going to be much more harmful with a greater offensive line and a deeper group of playmakers.


“I feel Ohio State can get nearer to 50 factors a sport this yr if they need. The full within the opening sport towards Notre Dame [O/U 58] feels low. I feel you are going to see numerous Ohio State totals within the higher 60s and 70s.”

Powers’ preseason rankings have Alabama No. 1, adopted by GeorgiaOhio State, Clemson Y Michigan. And whereas the Buckeyes are the cream of the Massive Ten crop and heavy favorites to win one other convention title, the Wolverines are actually not far behind.

“I am extra bullish than the market in Michigan,” Powers mentioned.

“There’s a large disparity between the state of Ohio and Michigan [11 points in Powers’ ratings]however Michigan is clearly the second-best Massive Ten group and I’ve them proper behind Clemson with room to develop.

“Michigan’s offense is underrated. There’s an opportunity the offense is the very best it is had on the talent positions since Chad Henne, Mike Hart and Mario Manningham had been there about 15 years in the past. I am a giant believer in Michigan’s offense.” Michigan.

“I anticipate Michigan to be the favourite in 11 of their 12 video games, with the sport at Ohio State being the one exception. I am leaning ‘over’ the win whole [O/U 9.5] And I feel a 10-2 common season could be very doable.”

Sam Panayotovich is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and NESN. He beforehand labored for WGN Radio, NBC Sports activities, and VSiN. He’ll most likely choose towards your favourite group. Observe him on Twitter @spshoot.

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